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NFL 2009 Week 3 Outlaw Point Spread Line

The DoverPro NFL Football Outlaw Line!
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Remember the system usually takes a few weeks to develop the selection base for the NFL Outlaw line picks. The Outlaw Line is based on the NFL Power rankings, with adjustments for preseason play, selected statistics, and some other factors.

The Early NFL Outlaw line is provided each week. This Pro Football Outlaw Line is based on NFL power rankings for each team in a computer generated statistical matrix which generates a probability factor for over 50 game variables. The result is a projected NFL Team matchup analysis which provides a calculated score for each game and establishes the point spread and total points expected to be scored. It is a raw number, not adjusted for injuries or weather.

Typically the NFL Outlaw Line is then adjusted by the sportsbooks for betting action, and the point spread is also adjusted to balance the betting load. The DoverPro NFL Outlaw Line also provides a Confidence Factor (%), an indication of how confident we are in the Calculations. For more information about this. see the NFL Point Spread Page.

The NFL Outlaw Line reflects only the weekly early picks. The final picks for the week are published later in the week, to receive our free NFL and NCAA football final picks ATS SU, visit the home page here: Free Football Picks ATS SU

NFL Week 3 Outlaw Point Spread Line and Total Points Outlaw Line as of  September 22, 2009

NFL Game w/ early Vegas Line

CF %

Projected score

(visitor-home)

NFL Outlaw Line
Point Spread

Outlaw Line Total Points

Outlaw Line Early ATS Pick

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Cleveland at Baltimore -13

61%

17-30

Ravens -13

47

Ravens -13

Tennessee at N.Y. Jets -2.5

56%

17-21

Jets -4

38

Jets -2.5

Washington -6.5 at Detroit

62%

24-20

Redskins -4

44

Lions +6.5

Jacksonville at Houston -4

58%

19-22

Texans -3

41

Jaguars +4

San Francisco at Minnesota -7

54%

21-24

Vikings -3

45

49ers +7

Atlanta at New England -4

59%

21-17

Falcons -4

38

Falcons +4

Kansas City at Philadelphia -9

66%

17-30

Eagles -13

47

Eagles -9

Green Bay -6.5 at St. Louis

58%

27-10

Packers -17

37

Packers -6.5

N.Y. Giants -7 at Tampa Bay

53%

27-21

Giants -6

48

Bucs +7

New Orleans -6 at Buffalo

52%

28-24

Saints -4

52

Bills +6

Chicago -2 at Seattle

59%

17-20

Seahawks -3

37

Seahawks +2

Pittsburgh -4 at Cincinnati

60%

21-14

Steelers -7

35

Steelers -4

Denver -1.5 Oakland

62%

21-17

Broncos -4

38

Broncos -1.5

Miami at San Diego -6

54%

14-21

Chargers -7

35

Chargers -6

Indianapolis at Arizona -2

57%

18-21

Cardinals -3

39

Cardinals -2

Carolina at Dallas -9

54%

18-28

Cowboys -10

46

Cowboys -9

How to read the table: Teams are listed with the Vegas line as of Wednesday. % is the Confidence Factor. The projected score is visitor-home team.  The Pro Football Outlaw Line is shown next then the NFL Outlaw Total Points Line, sometimes called the over/under. Vegas Lines are as of the date on the page.

 

Good luck with your Free NFL Football Picks ATS!    

Outlaw Line: This is the line based on statistical analysis of the performance factors of the teams. This is the “starting line” for all games. This line is then adjusted by the oddsmakers to reflect betting action on the game, adding or subtracting points as needed to “balance the load” of actual or anticipated betting action. The outlaw line can change during the week, right up until game time

The DoverPro NFL Outlaw line also provides a Confidence Factor, an indication of how confident we are in the Calculations.

Good luck and have fun, Fantasy Football Players!

Thanks for visiting Football Free NFL Picks from The DoverPro!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NFL Week 3 Pro Football Outlaw Line. 

Free NFL ATS and SU Football Outlaw Line Point Spread Line  for all of these AFC Football teams

 Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, Tennessee Titans

Free NFL ATS and SU Football Outlaw Line Point Spread Line  for all of these NFC Football teams

 Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Washington Redskins.

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