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Fading the Public
Las Vegas was not built on players’ winnings, rather, it is built on money lost by hard-working individuals. Sadly, but often true, casinos have the edge on every game on its floor—including the sportsbook. What may seem like an easy bet usually results in a loss for the player.
Fading the public usually entails a rough 60% winning percentage in the long run. This angle usually works best in football spread games. This angle can actually become stronger in conjunction with other angles, and solidified with this particular angle: fading the betting public favorite in high profile games (notice the term public favorite—this can be either the actual favorite or underdog in this case). High profile games such as the Monday Night Games, Playoffs, Superbowl, all have heavy handles, and therefore require ‘shaded’ lines to compensate for the increased actions felt by the sportsbooks. Before this past years Superbowl, Las Vegas has enjoyed raking in their winnings year after year on this angle.
Watch for "get even" games, for example, a bad week for bettors and a seemingly great line on a Sunday Night or Monday Night game, a chance to "make up for" losses on previous games. Playoff games between close teams will draw a "Public Line" designed to draw bets, not predict the outcome, shading the spread to get the public to bet on a seemingly "sure thing".
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NFL Betting Systems Fading the Public
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